This is amusing:
What about Ukip votes in marginal seats? On this, I defer to the best political scientist in Britain, Professor Tim Bale of Sussex University, who wrote recently on The Spectator’s Coffee House blog that “the impact is vastly exaggerated. At best we’re talking about no more than a handful of seats — certainly nowhere near enough to mean the difference between the Tories being the biggest party and a comfortable overall majority”. Persuaded? You should be.
If memory serves Tim Bale was predicitng before the euro elections that UKIP were flatlining on 3% or so and would not win any seats.
As he had at the previous euro elections.
That we got 16.5% and beat Labour into third doesn’t seem to have sunk in in any manner, does it?