I complained about what they are doing here.
We do have, the way that they are counting, an increase in admissions related to alcohol. This is partly because of the following effect: there has been a rise in admissions. Actually, there’s been a 40% or so rise in admissions over the decade. And, if you are, as they are, stating that 0.3 of this type of admission is booze related and then 0.2 of that type, then a rise in overall admissions will lead to a rise in booze related admissions.
BTW, a rise in admissions when spending on the health care system roughly doubles is not a great surprise, whatever the underlying health of the nation.
Over here we get more of the necessary information.
This is speculative, but my guess is that the alleged rise in alcohol-related hospital admissions is in fact a rise in obesity-related hospital admissions, which are linked to some of the same diagnoses at similar ages. Perhaps the statisticians behind this weekend’s newspaper stories could find time to look into this hypothesis.
We know, absolutely, that there has been a change in the pattern of disease (or ill health perhaps) over the decade. Yet the proportions of ill health which are defined as being alcohol related have been held static over that decade.
To be absurd for a moment, if plague was definied as being 0.3 of an alcohol admission then the Black Death would have showed a rise in alcohol related admissions.
To be not absurd for a moment, many of the diseases and illnesses associated with obesity are defined as being some portion of an alcohol related admission. Meaning that as muffin tops spread then so do booze related admissions.
These statistics simply are not fit for use.
Yet, as we can see, they are being used to pressure for minimum prices, higher booze taxes and in general, the imposition of Methodist values on a non-Methodist population. Next up the cooking of the numbers about dancing so that the Baptists can have a go, eh?